Article

Assessing social risks and health outcomes in value-based care

September 18, 2023
Read time:
Download Fact Sheets
Register now
Share this resource
Subscribe to our Newsletter
By subscribing you agree to with our Privacy Policy.
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
Download this as a PDF

In June, we explored how policy dialogue surrounding value-based care often disguises its meaning and purpose. It’s almost as if our ever-present challenge of escalating costs and worsening outcomes in the U.S. will be magically solved by simply uttering the phrase “value-based” as though it’s a spell or incantation that will erode decades-long practices of artificially inflating price for no rational reason.

Social determinants of health = health-related social needs

Beyond the economics of the industry, there are the very real non-medical factors that influence issues of cost and poor outcomes. These larger structural forces, often referred to as the social determinants of health or health-related social needs (HRSN), have garnered attention in health policy being embedded in federal regulatory thinking and in state Medicaid programs. This makes sense. Once we start to understand that social risks are insurance risks, it reframes where our dollars should go and for what.

 Once we start to understand that social risks are insurance risks, it reframes where our dollars should go and for what.

Now the obvious answer is that we need to address people’s basic needs like housing, food, education, etc., directly. To be sure, the US is an anomaly compared to other industrialized nations when it comes to basic supports like these, falling far short compared to every other country. Given the recent evidence highlighting how covid relief enabled this sort of stabilization for many, that should be a focus of policymakers outside of healthcare and will undoubtedly, positively impact healthcare spending. However, this does not mean that healthcare does not have a role. Indeed, when it comes to health policy, the federal government and states have looked at ways to finance the social needs of Medicaid beneficiaries, leveraging waiver authorities to do so. But in a state like Ohio, where waivers are more challenging to achieve, politically, value-based care can provide an avenue to meet the same ends.

How do we manage the risk?

Most value-based care in Ohio and beyond is built around achieving benchmarks. In other words, it’s only about incentivizing processes or procedures that we know help bend the cost-curve long-term. In other words, most of what’s been implemented in “upside.” Functionally, then, this system is still grounded in fee-for-service, meaning volume is still the primary source of revenue development and there is no natural incentive to mitigate risk and prevent illness.  

When providers take on risk, themselves, and have full responsibility over the resources associated with care, the incentives change. In this way, it becomes imperative for providers to manage the full continuum of risk for their patients and, ultimately, receive the highest benefit when illness is avoided. This is what it means to take on “downside” risk. But downside risk is also often limited or mitigated, putting only a marginal sum “at risk,” muting the potential benefit and maintaining the primary scope of risk management within the realm of medicine, alone. This does not have to be where these tools stop, however.

 When a provider is at full risk for the care of individual, it means that they must manage the comprehensive needs of those individuals.

When a provider is at full risk for the care of individuals, otherwise known as “global capitation” it means that they must manage the comprehensive needs of those individuals. It also means if they are not efficient with those resources, they could bear the cost of that inefficiency. That is why it’s called risk. But what global capitation unlocks is the ability to be innovative in delivery design. It means that providers who have these resources can help create systems of support with non-traditional collaborators in ways that augment value and enable case management and coordination strategies that address HRSN – all without a waiver.  

So why aren’t more folks doing this?

1: They Don’t Know What Value-Based Care Is

This was the point of my last blog, What is Value-based Care, Again? People hear value-based care and they often accept the ambiguity, or see it as some function of branding which, frankly, is not an unfair thing to do.

2: They Don’t Want To (Or Can’t) Take on Risk

Once you become responsible for your patients’ needs, in total, what happens if you fail? Do you have the option to fail at a time when healthcare is changing too quickly and there are significant financial threats through the retailing of medicine? Beyond that, if you are a smaller provider, or represent them, how can you possibly get to the same scale as large systems who are getting bigger through acquisition and mergers? And while trade associations and some national risk-adjustment companies are seeking solutions, there is often too high a price tag for local solutions to meaningfully develop the administrative infrastructure needed to be effective or, conversely, you can often lose that “local approach” by partnering with a faceless vendor, disabling your ability to meaningfully respond to community needs, defined by the community.

Ohio should invest for the best returns for patients, not providers

In the end, Ohio’s new Next Gen Managed Care program provides a pathway to make HRSN management possible through global capitation. While advocates and some policy thinkers continue to spend time and resources on health-specific regulatory fixes and solutions to these fundamental problems, it is the wrong focus. That advocacy energy is better spent directly addressing HRSN by investing in supports that promote housing security, food insecurity, and so on, without turning it into another cost center for the Medicaid program from which providers can make more money in the same fee-for-service format.

 Providers should be taking advantage of what already exists and finding the courage and will to be innovative.

When it comes to healthcare, providers should be taking advantage of what already exists and finding the courage and will to be innovative. If providers are serious about addressing their patients’ needs, and if community-based organizations want to be able to meaningfully collaborate with providers to coordinate services, they should be doing so through a contract. Otherwise, why do we have managed care in the first place?

Download Fact Sheets

Caregiving in Ohio statewide

Download

All Ohio Senate Districts

Download

All Ohio House Districts

Download

Ohio Senate District 33

Download

Ohio Senate District 32

Download

Ohio Senate District 31

Download

Ohio Senate District 30

Download

Ohio Senate District 29

Download

Ohio Senate District 28

Download

Ohio Senate District 27

Download

Ohio Senate District 26

Download

Ohio Senate District 25

Download

Ohio Senate District 24

Download

Ohio Senate District 23

Download

Ohio Senate District 22

Download

Ohio Senate District 21

Download

Ohio Senate District 20

Download

Ohio Senate District 19

Download

Ohio Senate District 18

Download

Ohio Senate District 17

Download

Ohio Senate District 16

Download

Ohio Senate District 15

Download

Ohio Senate District 14

Download

Ohio Senate District 13

Download

Ohio Senate District 12

Download

Ohio Senate District 11

Download

Ohio Senate District 10

Download

Ohio Senate District 9

Download

Ohio Senate District 8

Download

Ohio Senate District 7

Download

Ohio Senate District 6

Download

Ohio Senate District 5

Download

Ohio Senate District 4

Download

Ohio Senate District 3

Download

Ohio Senate District 2

Download

Ohio Senate District 1

Download

Ohio House District 99

Download

Ohio House District 98

Download

Ohio House District 97

Download

Ohio House District 96

Download

Ohio House District 95

Download

Ohio House District 94

Download

Ohio House District 93

Download

Ohio House District 92

Download

Ohio House District 91

Download

Ohio House District 90

Download

Ohio House District 89

Download

Ohio House District 88

Download

Ohio House District 87

Download

Ohio House District 86

Download

Ohio House District 85

Download

Ohio House District 84

Download

Ohio House District 83

Download

Ohio House District 82

Download

Ohio House District 81

Download

Ohio House District 80

Download

Ohio House District 79

Download

Ohio House District 78

Download

Ohio House District 77

Download

Ohio House District 76

Download

Ohio House District 75

Download

Ohio House District 74

Download

Ohio House District 73

Download

Ohio House District 72

Download

Ohio House District 71

Download

Ohio House District 70

Download

Ohio House District 69

Download

Ohio House District 68

Download

Ohio House District 67

Download

Ohio House District 66

Download

Ohio House District 65

Download

Ohio House District 64

Download

Ohio House District 63

Download

Ohio House District 62

Download

Ohio House District 61

Download

Ohio House District 60

Download

Ohio House District 59

Download

Ohio House District 58

Download

Ohio House District 57

Download

Ohio House District 56

Download

Ohio House District 55

Download

Ohio House District 54

Download

Ohio House District 53

Download

Ohio House District 52

Download

Ohio House District 51

Download

Ohio House District 50

Download

Ohio House District 49

Download

Ohio House District 48

Download

Ohio House District 47

Download

Ohio House District 46

Download

Ohio House District 45

Download

Ohio House District 44

Download

Ohio House District 43

Download

Ohio House District 42

Download

Ohio House District 41

Download

Ohio House District 40

Download

Ohio House District 39

Download

Ohio House District 38

Download

Ohio House District 37

Download

Ohio House District 36

Download
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
Download report

Subscribe to our newsletter

5 Things you need to know arrives on Mondays with the latest articles, events, and advocacy developments in Ohio

Explore the fact sheets

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Suspendisse varius enim in eros elementum tristique.

No Related Fact Sheets

Explore Topics

Browse articles, research, and testimony.

Poverty & Safety Net
Article

Just over half of health and human services on the May ballot passed 

Kyle Thompson
June 8, 2026
Poverty & Safety Net
Article

Why is SNAP in HB795, a bill about Medicaid?

Rachel Cahill
June 4, 2026
Article

Welcome Camren Harris, Policy Fellow

Tara Britton
May 30, 2026
Maternal & Infant Health
Article

How is Ohio addressing the maternal health crisis?

Natasha Takyi-Micah
May 18, 2026